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Archive for May 12th, 2007

How to get one for big long term profits

Buying a FOREX trading system can be a way of making big consistent profits and being automatic means that you can do so with the minimum of effort.

You can find good FOREX trading systems from vendors, but be warned over 95% of them are junk.

In this article we will look at how to find one with the potential for making capital gains.

1. Don’t Buy a FOREX day trading system!

Most novice traders do this and lose.

Day trading simply does not work – All short term volatility is random.

If you are trading FX, ignore the promises of profits, the reality is your account will get wiped out – which leads me onto my next point.

2. Always ask for a real time track record

Most FOREX Trading systems don’t have real time track records.

You do however get a hypothetical track record.

For those of you who don’t know what this is – it’s a track record designed in hindsight, knowing the closing prices already.

No wonder they all make a profit!

Ask yourself this question:

Why would you give money to someone who does not trade their own system?

If they don’t have the courage to trade it why should you?

Look for a track record of at least two years, ask for audited proof of the systems performance and this should be net of all fees.

3. Make sure you understand the systems logic

Never buy a black box system where the logic is not revealed.

The reason for this is that if you don’t know the logic the system is based on you probably won’t have the discipline to stick with it when it runs into a period of losses which all systems will do.

From understanding the logic comes confidence and from confidence comes discipline.

4. Drawdowns

Always look at the worst peak to valley drawdown and time to recovery and then ask yourself the question:

Can I handle that without throwing in the towel?

Many systems have great gains over the long term but can draw down by 50% or more – if you are not happy taking this risk you will probably not stay with the system.

Always assume your worst drawdown is ahead of you.

5. Guarantees and support

I like to know who I am dealing with find out something about their past, their views and what support they offer and think this is something all FX traders should do.

I also like a money back guarantee as well so if this is part of the package all the better.

Reputable vendors if you ask serious questions will normally be more than happy to answer your questions and queries so do so and don’t deal with a vendor until you feel comfortable with them.

Most FOREX trading systems sold are:

Junk and not worth the cash, the best way to weed them out is to do the track record test – get a real one or don’t buy.

That may not guarantee you currency trading success, but if it is over a long period of time and has produced profits you can at least assume the logic is soundly based.

Picking a FOREX system to trade is really all about using common sense, cutting through the advertising copy and seeing the facts.

If you spend some time shopping around, you can find one of the minority of systems that not only can deliver you value for money, but also give you big profit potential from global FOREX markets.

Posted on 12th May 2007
Under: Forex, Investing, Trading | No Comments »

Building one for big profits in 3 simple steps

Here we are going to show you how to build your own profitable FOREX trading system in simple steps.

You can build one easily by utilizing free information on the web.

We are going to look at choosing a methodology, structuring the system and implementing it for profit – It will give you big profit potential and won’t cost you a cent.

The methodology below is the basis for all my trading systems and its very simple. I have traded for over 23 years and tried just about ever system out there and the fact is:

When trading FOREX, simple systems beat complicated ones, as they are more robust in the face of ever changing market conditions.

The methodology below works and will continue to work, so let’s take a look at it.

1. Methodology

Look at any FOREX chart and what do you see?

Long term trends that last for weeks or months – These are the trends you need to target.

To target these trends all you need to understand is the concept of support and resistance and price momentum.

Now we need a methodology, let’s take one that has stood the test of time and will continue to work – trading breakouts.

Breakouts from significant support and resistance are one of the most effective ways of catching the big profitable moves.

FACT: Most major currency moves start from new market highs NOT market lows.

You can read all about the above concepts free on the web and in some shape or form most of the worlds top traders use breakouts.

In conclusion, we are going to look for long term trends from support and resistance - now let’s look at how to put this into practice.

2. Structuring a System

Now you need to organize the above and enter some trades – Here is a simple way of trading the above:

• Look at the weekly chart

Look for well established support and resistance that has been tested several times preferably at least 4 times and several weeks apart

• Look at the daily charts

Now look for tests that coincide with the weekly levels that have again been tested several times.

NOTE:

If you start with the weekly chart you will get the big picture and well established support and resistance can be seen - that if broken will give you high odds of the break continuing.

3. Timing the trade

Here we need to look at price momentum and trade with confirmation that the odds are in our favor.

Trading with price strength on a break is an essential element of any successful FOREX trading system and you need indicators that will help you spot it.

Pull up a free chart service such as futuresource.com

Look at the stochastic indicator and Relative Strength Index ( RSI), both these are fantastic confirming indicators.

We don’t have time to write about them in detail here but they are covered in our other articles so look them up.

If a break occurs you can go with the break providing your momentum indicators confirm it.

If you are only trading strong support and resistance that the market recognizes as significant then the odds of the break continuing as stops are unwound and trend followers come in is higher.

Stops should be below the breakout point on daily close basis only (US hours) you can also wait till the end of the session to enter your trades.

This system won’t give you many trades each year, but the ones it will give you will have high odds of success and fantastic profit potential.

The FOREX Trading system above can be adapted, but its an excellent base to start from and is perfect for novice FOREX traders.

Take a look at this FOREX trading system because:

Its simple to understand, simple to apply, takes less than 30 minutes a day and can yield triple digit gains

Even better it costs you nothing, but could make you significant long term capital gains.

Don’t spend money on worthless e-books selling systems they have plucked from free information on the net build your own.

Posted on 12th May 2007
Under: Forex, Investing, Trading | No Comments »