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Archive for December 7th, 2007

Why it is impossible to predict Forex prices!

One of the most important points in your forex education should be that if you try and predict forex prices you are 100% guaranteed to lose. The reason is obvious yet more novice traders make this mistake than any other - yet you don’t have to predict to win let me explain why …

Predicting is simply another word for hoping or guessing and that will not make you money in any venture in life and certainly not currency trading.

Let’s first dispel the myth of prediction and then explain what you really have to do to win.

Why Predicting Forex is as Accurate as Your Horoscope

There is a huge industry in guru’s who tell you they can predict market tops and bottoms and that markets move to a scientific repetitive pattern and pedal ridiculous theories based upon Gann, Elliot wave or Fibonacci numbers.

They all lose and its again common sense why markets don’t move to a scientific law.

Why Dont they?

Because if they did, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market - a market by its very nature moves on uncertainty.

Also if their was a scientific theory that applied to forex trading whoever had it, would not need to sell it to you, as they would be making to much money!

How to Win

The way to enjoy currency trading success is not to attempt to predict - but to act on the reality of the price change.

Let me give you an example that will make this clearer.

Let’s say you see a currency coming into test major support and you think it’s going to hold.

You do not simply execute a trading signal into the level of support - you wait.

You wait for support to hold and prices to turn away from the level - supported by price momentum.

Using Momentum

If you don’t know anything about momentum indicators, then make them an essential part of your forex education.

These momentum oscillators will help you confirm changes in price momentum and allow you to see visually when price is strengthening away from support. You may say I will miss the turn and sure you will - but you don’t know its going to turn in advance!

There is an old saying:

“A bottom picker becomes a cotton picker”

And its right, try and predict market lows or highs and you will end up losing your trading account equity.

Great momentum indicators to use are:

The Stochastic, RSI, ADX etc - we don’t have time to cover them here, just look them up in our other articles.

They are excellent indicators and will get the odds in your favour.

This is what forex trading is a game of odds - not certainties.

Don’t let that worry you though if you can trade the odds you can make a lot of money.

If You Want To Win

Trading is not about trying to be clever and catching the exact turn, know one can do that - so don’t try.

Trading has one aim making money and don’t worry if you could catch just 60% of all the major trends you would be very rich.

If you learn forex trading the right way and get the right forex education you will now know you need to to act on the reality of price change, use momentum indicators to get the odds in your favour and if you do, your currency trading profits will soar.

Posted on 7th December 2007
Under: Forex, Trading Signals | No Comments »

5 Tips on learning Forex Trading to win

This post is all about getting the right forex education to win. It’s a fact 95% of traders learn forex trading the wrong way and lose but learn these tips and you will have a head start on the road to currency trading success.

1. Forex Trading is NOT Easy

You wouldn’t expect it to be either with the rewards on offer - which can be life changing. On the other hand it’s not hard either, you simply have to learn the right knowledge and get a forex trading strategy to win.

Today, traders try and take the easy route in all aspects of life and they think they can buy success. All for $100 they can get a trading system which will make them $10,000 a month - The advice to these people is get in the real world.

The good news is:

If you accept that forex trading is not easy but can be hugely rewarding for the effort you put in then you will make the required effort to succeed.

2. Don’t Work Hard Work Smart

Many people think the more knowledge they acquire the better when learning currency exchange - but the fact is:

You don’t get paid for effort; you get paid for being right with your market timing and trading signal and that it.

It doesn’t matter if you spend 20 minutes on it or 20 hours, it’s the outcome of the execution of your trade that determines how much money you make.

You need to work smart and learn the right knowledge and this should only take you a few weeks or less (see our other articles for full breakdown) you’re then ready to trade forex and win.

After your initial forex training it should take you 20 minutes or less per day to trade and that’s it.

3. Keep It Simple

Many people that not only is it good to put in a lot of effort, it’s a great idea to be clever and build complicated forex trading systems, as they are likely to have more chance of success - Wrong!

Just like in the application of time to currency trading, you need to learn not to over complicate it - keep it simple.

It’s a fact that simple trading systems work best, as they are more robust in the brutal world of real trading and have fewer elements to break, than complicated ones.

4. Find Your Own Road

No one else is going to make you rich - its all on your shoulders, your alone and that’s the best place to be, remember the 95% of losing traders cant accept responsibility for their actions trust a mentor, guru or broker and lose so being away from the losing herd and trade in isolation. You will even if you take advice know exactly how your forex trading strategy is going to work.

The above is essential because from understanding comes from confidence and from this combination comes discipline. Discipline is vital to your forex trading success because if you can’t apply a forex trading method with discipline - you don’t have one!

5. Your Trading Edge

This is what will separate you from the losing majority of forex traders and allow you to enter the elite 5% of winners that make the big profits.

The edge can be anything you like but it must give the confidence to beat the majority and win. If you don’t know what it is - then continue your forex education until you do.

Learning currency exchange is easy but learning the discipline to apply your method is hard and will only come from understanding exactly what you are doing and trading on your own.

If you understand all the above about getting the right forex education then congratulations you have taken your first step on the road to currency trading success.

Posted on 7th December 2007
Under: Forex | No Comments »